Monday, September 19, 2016

Central Bank to introduce repo transactions on electronic platform

Sept 19, 2016 (LBO) – Sri Lanka’s Central Bank is considering introducing the repurchase and reverse repurchase transactions to the Bloomberg electronic bond trading platform.

All primary dealers had joined this platform for government securities secondary market transactions starting from August, while commercial banks joined the platform from 15th September 2016.

“All stakeholders have now begun to yield the benefits arising from the transparency, price discovery and liquidity created through this trading platform in the market,” the central bank said in a statement.

“The Central Bank is grateful to all those stakeholders who supported this significant milestone in further development of government securities market in Sri Lanka.”

All primary dealers and banks undertake trades among them in the platform and report all over-the-counter outright deals with investors of 50 million rupees and above within 30 minutes.

The Central Bank currently releases basic trade information on yields and volumes by each security traded to its website next day.

In due course, the Central Bank will release such market information twice a day, at noon and close of the day, the Central Bank said in statement.

During 32 market days from 01.08.2016 to 15.09.2016, 1,816 outright transactions amounting to 218.7 billion rupees took place in trade of the majority of securities in issue, the bank said.

 

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Sri Lankan rupee edges down on importer dollar demand; stocks fall

COLOMBO, Sept 19 (Reuters) – The Sri Lankan rupee traded weaker on Monday as importer dollar demand surpassed selling of the U.S. currency by exporters, dealers said.

The spot rupee was traded at 145.80/95 per dollar at 0625 GMT, slightly weaker from Thursday’s close of 145.75/85. One-week forwards were at 146.05/20, compared with the previous close of 145.90/146.00.

Markets were closed on Friday for a Buddhist religious holiday.

The spot rupee is usually managed by the central bank and market participants use the forward market levels for guidance on the currency.

“Suddenly we now see importer demand coming in to market. It looks like the seasonal import demand has come in to the market,” said a currency dealer, asking not to be named.

“Today we can’t see the state banks yet, though they were active last Thursday.”

Dealers had expected seasonal importer demand to pick up from mid-October.

The central bank has largely not intervened to defend the rupee ever since a dual-tenure sovereign bond issue raised $1.5 billion in July.

Sri Lankan shares fell, with the benchmark Colombo stock index down 0.1 percent at 6,465.95 as of 0621 GMT. Turnover was at 201.9 million rupees ($1.38 million). ($1 = 145.8500 Sri Lankan rupees)

 

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Thursday, September 15, 2016

Stocks waver as policy uncertainty, weaker oil sap confidence

TOKYO, Sept 15 (Reuters) – Asian stocks wavered on Thursday as investors grappled with the seemingly diminishing ability of major central banks to stimulate growth, while a tumble in crude oil inflamed already heightened risk aversion.

Global bond yields have risen in sympathy with depressed sentiment, adding to nervousness over when the Federal Reserve might decide to raise rates.

MSCI’s broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan edged down 0.1 percent.

Japan’s Nikkei lost 0.6 percent and Australian stocks shed 0.1 percent. South Korea’s Kospi was little changed.

The soggy Asian start followed an uninspiring performance overnight on Wall Street where the Dow lost 0.2 percent and the S&P 500 shed 0.1 percent, with uncertainty over future interest rate hikes and lower energy shares weighing.

While expectations over a Fed rate hike at next week’s meeting have faded, investors have been bracing for a tightening before year-end.

Perceived limits to the extensive monetary easings led by major central banks like the European Central Bank and the Bank of Japan have also soured broader risk sentiment, driving global debt yields higher.

The Bank of England will be a focus on Thursday. The central bank is seen standing pat after easing policy last month, amid signs it overestimated the initial shock to Britain’s economy from June’s Brexit vote.

“Having just increased stimulus in August, the BoE won’t be eager to add bond purchases or cut interest rates again,” wrote Kathy Lien, managing director of FX Strategy at BK Asset Management.

“Recent data shows how their efforts have paid off so while the BoE will leave the door open to additional stimulus, they should note the improvements in the economy and signal to the market that they are in wait and see mode.”

Sterling added to modest gains made overnight and was last up 0.2 percent at $1.3266.

Elsewhere, the dollar was little changed at 102.555 yen . It had briefly risen above 103.00 the previous day on speculation the BOJ would increase stimulus next week.

The euro was steady at $1.1246.

Brent crude limped up 0.5 percent to $46.07 a barrel after dropping 2.6 percent on Wednesday when data showing large weekly builds in U.S. petroleum products offset a surprise draw in crude stockpiles.

The 10-year U.S. Treasury note yield stood at 1.697 percent after sliding overnight to as low as 1.682 percent.

The 10-year yield fell as bond market weakness, which had sent it to a three-month high of 1.752 percent earlier this week, ebbed slightly.

Long-dated bonds have underperformed for much of the past month in line with a steepening yield curve in Japanese government bonds. The BOJ is studying options to steepen the yield curve to help prompt new lending by banks that have been hurt by low long-term rates.

 

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Sri Lanka to set up a special unit for economic development

Sep 14, 2016 (LBO) – Sri Lanka’s cabinet has approved obtaining the assistance of the Mackenzie Institute of USA to set up a Central Programme Management Unit in Sri Lanka to aid with rapid development.

“It is important to establish a separate unit to supervise and take corrective measures on development activities for achieving the objectives to gain an accelerated economic development and to convert the country’s economy into a sustainable socio-economic market,” the latest statement on cabinet decisions said.

The said proposal was made by Prime Minister Ranil Wickremesinghe, in his capacity as the Minister of National Policies and Economic Affairs.

Mackenzie Institute of USA has had experience in setting up such units in rapidly transforming economies such as in Malaysia.

 

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Sri Lankan rupee edges down on importer dollar demand

COLOMBO, Sept 15 (Reuters) – The Sri Lankan rupee traded slightly lower on Thursday as importer dollar demand surpassed exporter sales of the U.S. currency, dealers said.

The spot rupee was at 145.82/92 per dollar, compared with Wednesday’s close of 145.70/85. One-week forwards were at 145.98/146.10, compared with the previous close of 145.90/146.05.

The spot rupee is usually managed by the central bank and market participants use the forward market levels for guidance on the currency.

“(Importer) demand is there but not much of (dollar) conversions,” said a currency dealer, asking not to be named.

Dealers said seasonal importer demand would pick up from mid-October.

The central bank has largely not intervened to defend the rupee ever since a dual-tenure sovereign bond issue raised $1.5 billion in July.

Sri Lankan shares edged down, with the benchmark Colombo stock index down 0.16 percent at 6,482.20 as of 0525 GMT. Turnover was at 75.6 million rupees ($519,052.52). ($1 = 145.6500 Sri Lankan rupees)

 

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Sri Lanka GDP expands 2.6-pct in second quarter 2016

Sept 15, 2016 (LBO) – Sri Lanka’s economy expanded 2.6 percent in the second quarter of 2016 from a year earlier, led by services activities, the state statistics office said.

The Gross Domestic Product of Sri Lanka for the second quarter of 2016 at constant price reportedly reached up to 2,130,240 million rupees against 2,075,805 million rupees reported for the second quarter of 2015.

Agriculture, industry, services and taxes less subsidies on products have contributed to the share of GDP at current price of 7.7 percent, 26.6 percent, 55.8 percent and 9.8 percent respectively in the second quarter of 2016.

During the second quarter, services activities have recorded a significant growth rate of 4.9 percent compared to the second quarter of 2015.

Telecommunication has reported a growth rate of 21.2 percent while financial services recording a growth of 14.5 percent.

Insurance activities grew by 15.1 percent, education services by 10.5 percent and wholesale and retail trade by 3.5 percent.

Industrial activities reported a growth rate of 2.2 percent in the second quarter with construction sector recording a 6.9 percent growth.

Electricity, gas, steam and air conditioning supply and ‘manufacture of furniture’ have shown a considerable growth rate of 7.0 percent and 4.4 percent respectively.

Manufacture of food, beverages and tobacco experienced growth in activity by 0.4 percent while manufacture of textile and wearing apparel posted 0.9 percent growth.

Mining and quarrying activity have reported a 4.9 percent of positive growth rate, over the period considered.

The agricultural activities however have reported 5.6 percent of negative growth rate.

The value added of growing of rice, tea and rubber have declined by 17.9 percent, 12.2 percent and 8.2 percent respectively during this quarter.

Marine fishing has also declined by 7.8 percent, compared to the same quarter last year.

 

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Wednesday, September 14, 2016

Sri Lanka budget deficit to be 4.7-pct in 2017, FinMin tells IMF

Sep 14, 2016 (LBO) – Sri Lanka’s Finance Minister said that the island plans on reducing the budget deficit to 4.7 percent in 2017.

“We had a budget deficit of 6.7 percent of the GDP last year and this year’s target will be 5.4 percent. it will be further reduced to 4.7 percent in 2017,” Finance Minister Ravi Karunanayake said.

“The government was very clear in gradually reducing the overall fiscal deficit to 3.5 percent of GDP by 2020.”

He made these comments at a meeting with IMF representatives in the island for a mission review of the 1.5 billion US dollar loan approved for Sri Lanka under the Extended Fund Facility (EFF) to support the country’s economic reform agenda.

Jaewoo Lee IMF Representative and the Country Representative for Sri Lanka and Maldives Eteri Kvintradze met the minister of finance at his ministry and reviewed the progress of the reforms agenda of the government.

The Secretary to Treasury R.H.S. Samaratunga also participated in this discussion.

The Executive Board of the International Monetary Fund (IMF) in June approved a 36-month extended arrangement under the Extended Fund Facility (EFF) with Sri Lanka for an amount equivalent to SDR 1.1 billion (about US$1.5 billion) to support the country’s economic reform agenda.

Finance Minister Ravi Karunanayake who thanked the IMF for its timely assistance explained in details the economic targets set by the unity government.

The Minister also briefed the IMF representatives on the Policies and programmes undertaken to support adjustment and reforms. Apart from the Fiscal consolidation, the other areas included under reforms are revenue mobilization, Public financial management and the reforms in the State owned enterprises.

The IMF mission Representatives admired the progress made in the right direction under the reforms agenda, a statement said.

They also expressed the hope that the Unity Government of Sri Lanka would be able to achieve desired economic progress in the near future as stimulated in their reforms agenda.

The first tranche of the Loan was disbursed in June and the rest will be disbursed in five equal tranches and the next tranche is due in November.

The reports of the review meeting the Mission Representatives held with the Minister of Finance Ravi Karunanayake in the presence of the Treasury Secretary R.H.S.Samaratunga will be tabled in the IMF November regular meeting ahead of disbursement of the 2nd tranche of the IMF Loan.

 

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Asian stocks fall to 6-week lows as bond rout intensifies

TOKYO/HONG KONG, Sept 14 (Reuters) – Asian stocks fell to fresh six-week lows on Wednesday and the greenback stood strong against a broad swathe of currencies including the Japanese yen as concerns grew about the fading impact of the world’s major central banks to stimulate growth.

Losses in stock markets across Asia deepened as rising bond yields and soaring volatility forced investors to unwind positions.

The MSCI’s broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan slid 0.2 percent, extending its decline since late last week to 4.2 percent.

Within the region, Japan’s Nikkei led losers with a 0.3 percent decline as uncertainty grew ahead of a central bank policy meeting next week.

The BOJ plans to make its controversial negative interest rate policy the centrepiece of future monetary easing, promising to weigh further rate cuts as expansions to asset buying near their limits, the Nikkei newspaper reported on Wednesday.

“The moves in developed market fixed-income, which are largely behind the volatility, have stemmed from Japan and the potential changes in monetary policy,” said Chris Weston, chief markets strategist at IG Markets.

“Secondly, some of the biggest systematic funds have had to alter their portfolios. The rest of the market participants have had to simply react.”

Stock markets have come under pressure as investors cut positions after large inflows in recent weeks betting on a long period of low volatility and suppressed bond yields.

Inflows into emerging market equity funds amounted to $24 billion dollars over the past 10 weeks, the highest on record according to Bank of America Merrill Lynch flow data. An index of market volatility soared to its highest level in three months.

On Wall Street, S&P 500 Index lost 1.48 percent to 2,127.02, a two-month low. Although it has managed to hold above its 200-day moving average at 2,121, a break of that level could sap market confidence. Futures were flat.

BONDS ON THE ROPES

Bond yields extended their rise, suggesting more losses for equity markets with yields on 30-year Japanese debt hitting the highest levels in six months, unnerving investors.

The 10-year U.S. Treasuries yield rose to a three-month high of 1.75 percent, having risen more than 20 basis points from a week ago.

The rise in U.S. bond yields came even as expectations on the Federal Reserve’s monetary policy outlook hardly changed. U.S. interest rate futures <0#FF:> are pricing in only about a 10 percent chance of a rate hike at next week’s policy review.

While the rise in U.S. bond yields was in part due to heavy Treasury and corporate debt supply, it also reflected concerns about the limits of global central bank policy in reviving growth.

Bond markets have come under pressure in recent days from unease about a possible U.S. rate hike this month, news that the Bank of Japan is studying ways to steepen the bond yield curve and disappointment at the lack of clear forward-action plan by the European Central Bank at last week’s meeting.

Jeffrey Gundlach, chief executive officer of DoubleLine Capital, said on Tuesday that long-term decline in global bond yields is over and investors are watching out for a likely fiscal expansion in the world’s major economies where monetary stimulus has reached its limits.

The prospects of a U.S. rate hike by the year-end helped to underpin the dollar against other currencies.

The euro dipped to $1.12200, a slight decline on the day and the week while the dollar also gained to 102.99 yen from Tuesday’s low of 101.42 yen.

The yen was also dented by the Nikkei newspaper report on the BOJ and negative rates.

Short-dated Japanese bond yields fell, with the five-year JGB yield slipping 2.5 basis points to minus 0.200 percent while the two-year yield fell 2.0 basis point to hit a six-week low of minus 0.265 percent.

Crude oil prices edged up after a 3 percent tumble in the previous session. Brent futures rose 15 cents to $47.25 a barrel, while U.S. light crude rose 20 cents to $45.10 as data from an industry group showed a smaller-than-expected build in U.S. crude stocks.

 

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